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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Tyler Toffoli

Alex TuchAlex TuchCapitals · Right wingvsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, Penalty minutes 57, Goals above expected +8.2.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, Power-play share 58.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchToffoli
Goals (+2)1.030.45
Assists (+1)0.390.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.21
Hits (+0.1)0.100.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Alex Tuch and Tyler Toffoli have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →