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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexander Nikishin vs Auston Matthews

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Nikishin's 1.50.

Nikishin had 33 points in 81 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.

This week Nikishin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Nikishin's 1.7.

Alexander Nikishin has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Nikishin's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Corsi 58.4%, Fenwick 56.9%.

Matthews's biggest edges: Ice-time share 34.1%, Ice time per game 20:48, Transition attempts /60 2.09.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexander Nikishin

1.50

fantasy points per game

Auston Matthews

2.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNikishinMatthews
Goals (+2)0.270.90
Assists (+1)0.270.43
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.38
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.580.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nikishin vs Matthews

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NikishinMatthews
1Team record in 2 meetings1
1Points in those games3

Nikishin 0G 1A, 3 SOG · Matthews 2G 1A, 9 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Nikishin blocked 0 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 3 of Nikishin's.

On the ice against each other (Nikishin's side)

13:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nikishin's side

Shot attempts
22–11
66.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
49.1%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexander Nikishin and Auston Matthews
DateScoreNikishinMatthews
2025-12-04CAR 1–5 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-09CAR 5–4 TOR0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NikishinMatthews

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexander Nikishin

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Alexander Nikishin or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Nikishin's 1.50. Nikishin had 33 points in 81 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexander Nikishin or Auston Matthews?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexander Nikishin leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nikishin and Matthews done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Nikishin's team went 1–1. Nikishin had 1 points (0 goals) and Matthews had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →