Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Clayton Keller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Keller has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
Clayton Keller has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Faceoffs won 0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.
Keller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.8%, Power-play share 71.5%, Offensive-zone time 46.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Clayton Keller
2.15
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.83 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Keller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 0G 4A, 8 SOG · Keller 4G 8A, 41 SOG
Carrier blocked 0 of Keller's shots; Keller blocked 1 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
4:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–6
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.3
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Keller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | MTL 4–3 UTA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-11-08 | MTL 6–2 UTA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-14 | MTL 5–3 UTA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-09 | NSH 4–0 UTA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-10 | NSH 5–4 ARI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-20 | NSH 2–3 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 9S |
| 2023-11-11 | NSH 5–7 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2023-02-26 | NSH 6–2 ARI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-11-21 | NSH 4–3 ARI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-08 | NSH 4–2 ARI | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 7S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
3.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Clayton Keller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Clayton Keller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Keller done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 8–2. Carrier had 4 points (0 goals) and Keller had 12 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →