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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Dylan Guenther

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.5 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 155.

Guenther's biggest edges: Power-play share 70.7%, Hardest shot 91.4, Power-play time per game 3:13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierGuenther
Goals (+2)0.301.20
Assists (+1)0.260.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.32
Hits (+0.1)0.050.08
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierGuenther
4Team record in 5 meetings1
1Points in those games4

Carrier 0G 1A, 2 SOG · Guenther 1G 3A, 7 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other0

Carrier blocked 2 of Guenther's shots; Guenther blocked 0 of Carrier's.

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

6:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
3–5
37.5%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
27.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Dylan Guenther
DateScoreCarrierGuenther
2025-11-26MTL 4–3 UTA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-11-08MTL 6–2 UTA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-09NSH 4–0 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-10NSH 5–4 ARI0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2024-01-20NSH 2–3 ARI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierGuenther

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Guenther done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 4–1. Carrier had 1 points (0 goals) and Guenther had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →