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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Erik Karlsson

Alexandre CarrierAlexandre CarrierCanadiens · DefencevsErik KarlssonErik KarlssonPenguins · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Blocked shots 155, Ascension score 65, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Power-play share 74.2%, Power-play time per game 3:18, Offensive-zone time 45.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.300.38
Assists (+1)0.260.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.24
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Alexandre Carrier and Erik Karlsson have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →