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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Plus/minus +2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.

Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Power-play share 62.4%, Offensive-zone time 44.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierFrost
Goals (+2)0.300.50
Assists (+1)0.260.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.17
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierFrost
5Team record in 9 meetings4
5Points in those games4

Carrier 0G 5A, 5 SOG · Frost 2G 2A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other1

Carrier blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 1 of Carrier's.

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

7:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.2
71.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Morgan Frost
DateScoreCarrierFrost
2026-01-07MTL 4–1 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-22MTL 2–1 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-08MTL 0–1 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-27NSH 2–3 PHI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-21NSH 4–2 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-12NSH 3–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-22NSH 1–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-27NSH 5–4 PHI0G 2A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-17NSH 4–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Frost done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 5–4. Carrier had 5 points (0 goals) and Frost had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →