Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left. We project Carrier for 1.6 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.4.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Luck Meter +57, Goals above expected +3.6.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Power-play share 53.8%, Hardest shot 88.9, Power-play time per game 2:20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Buchnevich 2G 4A, 14 SOG
Carrier blocked 2 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 0 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
8:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–6
- 68.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.3
- 71.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | MTL 0–2 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-07 | MTL 3–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | NSH 6–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-02-17 | NSH 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-24 | NSH 8–3 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-19 | NSH 2–5 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-17 | NSH 3–8 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 ptsSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 3–4. Carrier had 3 points (0 goals) and Buchnevich had 6 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →