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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Jake McCabe

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsJake McCabeJake McCabeMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; McCabe had 25 in 80 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McCabe has 1 left. We project McCabe for 1.7 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.

McCabe's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Penalty minutes 64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.040.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Jake McCabe

1.75

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake McCabe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreMcCabe
Goals (+2)0.490.11
Assists (+1)0.340.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.10
Hits (+0.1)0.110.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.211.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs McCabe

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreMcCabe
5Team record in 14 meetings9
14Points in those games10

Lafrenière 6G 8A, 33 SOG · McCabe 1G 9A, 16 SOG

2Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Lafrenière blocked 1 of McCabe's shots; McCabe blocked 2 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

21:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
19–15
55.9%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
48.5%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Jake McCabe
DateScoreLafrenièreMcCabe
2026-03-25NYR 3–4 TOR1G 2A 7S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-05NYR 6–2 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-16NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 3A 0S
2025-02-28NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-19NYR 4–1 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02NYR 3–4 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-19NYR 5–2 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-12NYR 3–7 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-18NYR 7–1 CHI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-03NYR 2–5 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreMcCabe

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Jake McCabe

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Jake McCabe in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; McCabe had 25 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Jake McCabe?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and McCabe done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 5–9. Lafrenière had 14 points (6 goals) and McCabe had 10 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →