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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Kirill Marchenko

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Goals above expected +0.8, Offensive-zone time 45.8%.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Ascension score 58, Plus/minus +7, Top skating speed 23.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.490.63
Assists (+1)0.340.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.29
Hits (+0.1)0.110.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreMarchenko
8Team record in 13 meetings5
10Points in those games10

Lafrenière 4G 6A, 24 SOG · Marchenko 4G 6A, 32 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lafrenière blocked 0 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 1 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

13:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
14–13
51.9%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
48.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreLafrenièreMarchenko
2026-03-19NYR 3–6 CBJ1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2026-03-02NYR 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 1S2G 1A 4S
2025-11-15NYR 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-15NYR 4–0 CBJ1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-09NYR 3–7 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-18NYR 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-28NYR 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-25NYR 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2023-11-12NYR 4–3 CBJ2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-14NYR 3–5 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2023-04-08NYR 4–0 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-28NYR 6–2 CBJ0G 2A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Marchenko done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 8–5. Lafrenière had 10 points (4 goals) and Marchenko had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →