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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Matthew Knies

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Knies has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Knies for 1.4 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Alexis Lafrenière has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Corsi 52.4%.

Knies's biggest edges: Ascension score 56, Hits 152, Hardest shot 87.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreKnies
Goals (+2)0.490.80
Assists (+1)0.340.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.19
Hits (+0.1)0.110.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Knies

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreKnies
3Team record in 9 meetings6
11Points in those games5

Lafrenière 5G 6A, 24 SOG · Knies 3G 2A, 18 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

9:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
6–7
46.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
46.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Matthew Knies
DateScoreLafrenièreKnies
2026-03-25NYR 3–4 TOR1G 2A 7S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-05NYR 6–2 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-16NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-28NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-19NYR 4–1 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-02NYR 3–4 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-19NYR 5–2 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreKnies

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Matthew Knies in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Matthew Knies?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexis Lafrenière leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Knies done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 3–6. Lafrenière had 11 points (5 goals) and Knies had 5 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →