Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Matthew Schaefer

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Schaefer has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Hits 84.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 51, Plus/minus +13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreSchaefer
Goals (+2)0.490.53
Assists (+1)0.340.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.27
Hits (+0.1)0.110.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Schaefer

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreSchaefer
0Team record in 4 meetings4
0Points in those games2

Lafrenière 0G 0A, 7 SOG · Schaefer 1G 1A, 10 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other0

Lafrenière blocked 3 of Schaefer's shots; Schaefer blocked 0 of Lafrenière's.

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

22:12 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
21–18
53.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
60.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Matthew Schaefer
DateScoreLafrenièreSchaefer
2026-01-29NYR 1–2 NYI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-28NYR 2–5 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-27NYR 0–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-08NYR 0–5 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreSchaefer

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Matthew Schaefer?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Schaefer done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 0–4. Lafrenière had 0 points (0 goals) and Schaefer had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →