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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Mikko Rantanen

Alexis LafrenièreAlexis LafrenièreRangers · Left wingvsMikko RantanenMikko RantanenStars · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: Corsi 52.4%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Fenwick 51.7%.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Penalty minutes 93, Top skating speed 22.8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreRantanen
Goals (+2)0.490.64
Assists (+1)0.340.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreRantanen
4Team record in 10 meetings6
2Points in those games7

Lafrenière 1G 1A, 22 SOG · Rantanen 5G 2A, 31 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

10:00 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
9–4
69.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
52.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreLafrenièreRantanen
2026-04-11NYR 0–2 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-02NYR 3–2 DAL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-01-28NYR 0–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-14NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-28NYR 3–2 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-05NYR 2–1 COL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-09NYR 2–1 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2022-10-25NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 7S
2021-12-14NYR 2–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2021-12-08NYR 3–7 COL0G 1A 1S2G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreRantanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Rantanen done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 4–6. Lafrenière had 2 points (1 goals) and Rantanen had 7 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →