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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexis Lafrenière vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.

Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Lafrenière has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Goals above expected +0.8, Scoring chances 54.3%.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Ascension score 48, Faceoffs won 390.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexis Lafrenière

1.41

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLafrenièreThompson
Goals (+2)0.490.93
Assists (+1)0.340.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.34
Hits (+0.1)0.110.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lafrenière vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LafrenièreThompson
12Team record in 18 meetings6
11Points in those games11

Lafrenière 7G 4A, 32 SOG · Thompson 6G 5A, 56 SOG

On the ice against each other (Lafrenière's side)

12:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lafrenière's side

Shot attempts
6–10
37.5%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
21.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexis Lafrenière and Tage Thompson
DateScoreLafrenièreThompson
2026-04-08NYR 3–5 BUF2G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-08NYR 2–5 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-09NYR 4–0 BUF1G 1A 5S0G 0A 5S
2025-02-22NYR 2–8 BUF0G 0A 0S2G 1A 4S
2024-12-11NYR 3–2 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2024-11-07NYR 1–6 BUF0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-23NYR 4–3 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-12NYR 5–1 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-10NYR 2–3 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-11NYR 2–1 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-27NYR 5–4 BUF1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-10NYR 2–1 BUF1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LafrenièreThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexis Lafrenière

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. Lafrenière had 57 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexis Lafrenière or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lafrenière and Thompson done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Lafrenière's team went 12–6. Lafrenière had 11 points (7 goals) and Thompson had 11 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →