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Who to start · 2025-26

Aliaksei Protas vs Tom Wilson

Aliaksei ProtasAliaksei ProtasCapitals · Left wingvsTom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Aliaksei Protas's 1.58.

Protas had 52 points in 76 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Protas has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Protas's 1.8.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Protas's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.30, Transition attempts /60 1.46, Offensive-zone start % 52.5%.

Wilson's biggest edges: Hits 179, Penalty minutes 117, Power-play share 59.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Aliaksei Protas

1.58

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProtasWilson
Goals (+2)0.620.78
Assists (+1)0.400.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.290.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Protas vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProtasWilson
1Shots blocked by the other1

Protas blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Protas's.

18Goals set up by the other14

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

632:20 at 5-on-5 over 63 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
673–535
55.7%
Expected goals
33.7–25.5
56.9%
Goals
37–20

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProtasWilson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Aliaksei Protas

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LW

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RW

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Aliaksei Protas or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Aliaksei Protas's 1.58. Protas had 52 points in 76 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Aliaksei Protas or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →