Who to start · 2025-26
Anders Lee vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anders Lee's 1.47.
Lee had 42 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Lee has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Lee for 2.1 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Lee's biggest edges: Hits 91, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036, Penalty minutes 44.
Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +52, Faceoffs won 0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anders Lee
1.47
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Lee | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Lee vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lee 8G 7A, 75 SOG · Carlson 5G 15A, 72 SOG
Lee blocked 5 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 3 of Lee's.
On the ice against each other (Lee's side)
12:43 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Lee's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–7
- 74.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.3
- 69.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Lee | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NYI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-30 | NYI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-31 | NYI 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-11 | NYI 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-06 | NYI 4–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-29 | NYI 4–5 WSH | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-29 | NYI 5–1 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-20 | NYI 2–3 WSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | NYI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-02 | NYI 3–0 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-10 | NYI 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-03-29 | NYI 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anders Lee
3games (2 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anders Lee or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anders Lee's 1.47. Lee had 42 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anders Lee or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Lee and Carlson done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, Lee's team went 11–18. Lee had 15 points (8 goals) and Carlson had 20 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →