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Who to start · 2025-26

Andre Burakovsky vs Connor McDavid

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andre Burakovsky's 1.03.

Burakovsky had 33 points in 75 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Burakovsky has 1 game left; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Burakovsky's 0.7.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Burakovsky's biggest edges: Hardest shot 86.3, Blocked shots 35, Offensive-zone start % 70.3%.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, High-danger chances 57.5%, Scoring chances 54.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andre Burakovsky

1.03

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBurakovskyMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.291.17
Assists (+1)0.291.10
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.33
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.37
Hits (+0.1)0.020.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Burakovsky vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BurakovskyMcDavid
7Team record in 18 meetings11
9Points in those games33

Burakovsky 4G 5A, 40 SOG · McDavid 11G 22A, 71 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Burakovsky's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Burakovsky's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other3

Burakovsky blocked 0 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 3 of Burakovsky's.

2Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Burakovsky's side)

4:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Burakovsky's side

Shot attempts
11–2
84.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Andre Burakovsky and Connor McDavid
DateScoreBurakovskyMcDavid
2026-04-02CHI 1–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 8S
2026-01-12CHI 1–4 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-01CHI 2–3 EDM1G 1A 5S0G 3A 5S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2023-01-17SEA 2–5 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-03SEA 5–2 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2022-12-30SEA 2–7 EDM0G 0A 4S1G 4A 3S
2022-06-06 · POCOL 6–5 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 2A 5S
2022-05-31 · POCOL 8–6 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 2A 2S
2022-04-22COL 3–6 EDM0G 2A 4S0G 3A 0S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BurakovskyMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andre Burakovsky

1games

0.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR0.7 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Andre Burakovsky or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andre Burakovsky's 1.03. Burakovsky had 33 points in 75 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andre Burakovsky or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Burakovsky and McDavid done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Burakovsky's team went 7–11. Burakovsky had 9 points (4 goals) and McDavid had 33 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Burakovsky or McDavid?
Against each other, Burakovsky has won 1 and McDavid 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →