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Who to start · 2025-26

Andre Burakovsky vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andre Burakovsky's 1.03.

Burakovsky had 33 points in 75 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Burakovsky has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Burakovsky's 0.7.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Burakovsky's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, Scoring chances 59.3%, Fenwick 56.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andre Burakovsky

1.03

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBurakovskyMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.291.32
Assists (+1)0.290.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.44
Hits (+0.1)0.020.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Burakovsky vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BurakovskyMacKinnon
4Team record in 10 meetings6
3Points in those games14

Burakovsky 1G 2A, 15 SOG · MacKinnon 2G 12A, 35 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Burakovsky's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Burakovsky's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Burakovsky blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Burakovsky's.

12Goals set up by the other12

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Burakovsky's side)

13:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Burakovsky's side

Shot attempts
13–19
40.6%
Expected goals
1.1–0.6
63.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Andre Burakovsky and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreBurakovskyMacKinnon
2026-03-20CHI 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 3A 4S
2026-02-28CHI 1–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 6S
2024-12-22SEA 2–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2024-11-05SEA 3–6 COL0G 0A 2S0G 5A 4S
2024-10-22SEA 2–3 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-10-17SEA 1–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-21SEA 3–2 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-07WSH 4–3 COL1G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S
2018-11-16WSH 3–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2017-12-12WSH 5–2 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BurakovskyMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andre Burakovsky

1games

0.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR0.7 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Andre Burakovsky or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andre Burakovsky's 1.03. Burakovsky had 33 points in 75 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andre Burakovsky or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Burakovsky and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Burakovsky's team went 4–6. Burakovsky had 3 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 14 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Burakovsky or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Burakovsky has won 0 and MacKinnon 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →