Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Macklin Celebrini's 3.00.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.45, Blocked shots 53.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, High-danger chances 54.8%, Fenwick 56.0%.
Head to head on the dot, Celebrini leads MacKinnon 9–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Celebrini | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.99 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 2G 0A, 19 SOG · MacKinnon 4G 8A, 24 SOG
Celebrini's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 3–5 · Celebrini's defensive zone 4–2 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Celebrini blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Celebrini's.
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
14:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–20
- 35.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.6
- 21.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | SJS 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-11-26 | SJS 0–6 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3–2 COL | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-06 | SJS 3–7 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 3A 8S |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Macklin Celebrini's 3.00. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–4. Celebrini had 2 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 12 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Celebrini has won 9 and MacKinnon 7 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →