Who to start · 2025-26
Jason Robertson vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jason Robertson's 2.59.
Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Robertson has 2 games left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project Robertson for 4.9 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Robertson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, High-danger chances 55.8%.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 681, Goals above expected +3.0, 20+ mph bursts 455.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jason Robertson
2.59
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Robertson | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.10 | 1.32 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.93 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Robertson vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Robertson 10G 17A, 71 SOG · MacKinnon 12G 16A, 111 SOG
Robertson blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Robertson's.
On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)
32:11 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–42
- 32.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–1.7
- 44.8%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Robertson | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | DAL 0–2 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-18 | DAL 2–1 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-03-06 | DAL 4–5 COL | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-10-11 | DAL 5–4 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-03-16 | DAL 3–4 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-01-18 | DAL 3–6 COL | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-29 | DAL 5–3 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-05-17 · PO | DAL 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-05-15 · PO | DAL 3–5 COL | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | DAL 5–1 COL | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | DAL 4–1 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | DAL 5–3 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jason Robertson
2games
4.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL2.2 ptsvs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.7 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jason Robertson or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jason Robertson's 2.59. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jason Robertson or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Robertson and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 10–13. Robertson had 27 points (10 goals) and MacKinnon had 28 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →