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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Cirelli vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Cirelli has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.5.

Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Cirelli's biggest edges: Plus/minus +38, Sequence xG 56.9%, Expected goals 57.0%.

Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.083, Faceoff win % 56.8%.

Head to head on the dot, Cirelli leads Frost 17–17.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Cirelli

1.67

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Anthony Cirelli has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCirelliFrost
Goals (+2)0.610.50
Assists (+1)0.380.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.370.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CirelliFrost
6Team record in 9 meetings3
5Points in those games6

Cirelli 0G 5A, 14 SOG · Frost 2G 4A, 19 SOG

17Faceoffs against each other17

Cirelli's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 9–5 · Cirelli's defensive zone 6–10 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Cirelli blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 0 of Cirelli's.

On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)

9:18 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side

Shot attempts
4–16
20.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.7
38.6%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Cirelli and Morgan Frost
DateScoreCirelliFrost
2026-03-22TBL 3–4 CGY0G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-26TBL 5–1 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-27TBL 3–0 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-07TBL 1–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-09TBL 7–0 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-27TBL 2–6 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2024-01-23TBL 6–3 PHI0G 2A 1S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-07TBL 5–2 PHI0G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S
2021-12-05TBL 7–1 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CirelliFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Cirelli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cirelli and Frost done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 6–3. Cirelli had 5 points (0 goals) and Frost had 6 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Cirelli or Frost?
Against each other, Cirelli has won 17 and Frost 17 of their 34 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →