Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Mantha vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.
Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Mantha has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left. We project Mantha for 1.8 ESPN points to Hertl's 1.8.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Mantha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +9.1, Luck Meter +74, On-ice PDO 1032.
Hertl's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Faceoffs won 720, Scoring chances 56.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Mantha
1.67
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Mantha | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Mantha vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Mantha 0G 4A, 17 SOG · Hertl 2G 2A, 17 SOG
Mantha's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 0–0 · Mantha's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Mantha blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 0 of Mantha's.
On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)
11:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–9
- 55.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 44.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Mantha | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | PIT 2–6 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-01 | PIT 5–0 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-28 | CGY 0–5 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-29 | WSH 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-04 | WSH 8–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2019-11-16 | DET 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-03-25 | DET 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-02-24 | DET 3–5 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2018-03-12 | DET 3–5 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-01-31 | DET 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Mantha
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHISchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.8 pts
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Mantha or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Mantha and Hertl done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 5–5. Mantha had 4 points (0 goals) and Hertl had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Mantha or Hertl?
- Against each other, Mantha has won 2 and Hertl 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →