Who to start · 2025-26
Justin Faulk vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.74.
Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Faulk has 2 games left; Hertl has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 3.7 ESPN points to Faulk's 2.7.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.6, Luck Meter +78, Top skating speed 22.7.
Hertl's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.7%, Fenwick 55.5%, Corsi 56.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Justin Faulk
1.91
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Faulk | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.85 | 0.27 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Faulk vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Faulk 3G 5A, 67 SOG · Hertl 8G 7A, 54 SOG
Faulk blocked 6 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 7 of Faulk's.
On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)
17:13 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–16
- 40.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 29.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Faulk | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | STL 2–4 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4–3 VGK | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2–4 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-20 | STL 5–4 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-11 | STL 3–4 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | STL 1–5 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-09 | STL 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-02 | STL 6–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-10 | STL 5–3 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-21 | STL 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-18 | STL 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Justin Faulk
2games
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR1.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.5 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Tomas Hertl
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA1.7 ptsvs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Justin Faulk or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.74. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Justin Faulk or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Faulk and Hertl done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 15–10. Faulk had 8 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 15 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →