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Who to start · 2025-26

Justin Faulk vs Mathew Barzal

In 2025-26, Justin Faulk scored 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Faulk has 2 games left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Faulk for 2.7 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Faulk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.6, Luck Meter +78, Transition attempts /60 0.52.

Barzal's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Plus/minus +10, Fenwick 51.7%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Justin Faulk

1.91

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFaulkBarzal
Goals (+2)0.410.47
Assists (+1)0.310.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.23
Hits (+0.1)0.090.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.850.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Faulk vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FaulkBarzal
12Team record in 20 meetings8
12Points in those games17

Faulk 3G 9A, 58 SOG · Barzal 5G 12A, 36 SOG

4Hits on each other2
4Shots blocked by the other1

Faulk blocked 4 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 1 of Faulk's.

On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)

7:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side

Shot attempts
10–8
55.6%
Expected goals
0.7–0.1
89.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Justin Faulk and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreFaulkBarzal
2025-11-22STL 2–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-17STL 1–0 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-05STL 2–4 NYI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-12-06STL 7–4 NYI0G 2A 0S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-03STL 2–5 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2022-04-09STL 6–1 NYI2G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2020-02-27STL 3–2 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2019-10-14STL 2–3 NYI0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2019-05-03 · POCAR 5–2 NYI0G 2A 2S1G 0A 4S
2019-05-01 · POCAR 5–2 NYI1G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2019-04-28 · POCAR 2–1 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2019-04-26 · POCAR 1–0 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FaulkBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Justin Faulk

2games

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.5 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

FAQ

Should I start Justin Faulk or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Justin Faulk scored 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Justin Faulk or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Faulk and Barzal done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 12–8. Faulk had 12 points (3 goals) and Barzal had 17 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →