Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Christian Dvorak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Hardest shot 88.3, Ascension score 44.

Dvorak's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 199, Plus/minus +11, Luck Meter −5.

Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Matthews 26–24.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsDvorak
Goals (+2)0.790.40
Assists (+1)0.380.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.18
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Dvorak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsDvorak
9Team record in 15 meetings6
10Points in those games8

Matthews 7G 3A, 64 SOG · Dvorak 4G 4A, 23 SOG

24Faceoffs against each other26

Matthews's offensive zone 8–11 · neutral 5–6 · Matthews's defensive zone 11–9 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other3

Matthews blocked 0 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 3 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

18:50 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
16–15
51.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
48.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Christian Dvorak
DateScoreMatthewsDvorak
2026-03-02TOR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 8S1G 0A 3S
2026-01-08TOR 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-11-01TOR 5–2 PHI1G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-12TOR 1–0 MTL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-18TOR 7–3 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-09TOR 0–1 MTL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-18TOR 5–1 MTL0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-21TOR 2–3 MTL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-12TOR 3–4 MTL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-09TOR 3–2 MTL2G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-26TOR 2–4 MTL1G 0A 6S1G 0A 1S
2020-02-11TOR 3–2 ARI0G 0A 6S1G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsDvorak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Christian Dvorak?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Dvorak done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 9–6. Matthews had 10 points (7 goals) and Dvorak had 8 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Dvorak?
Against each other, Matthews has won 24 and Dvorak 26 of their 50 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →