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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Filip Hronek

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsFilip HronekFilip HronekCanucks · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.7.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, On-ice PDO 1016, Plus/minus −4.

Hronek's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.0, Hits 133, Luck Meter +12.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsHronek
Goals (+2)0.790.17
Assists (+1)0.380.68
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.17
Hits (+0.1)0.070.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Auston Matthews and Filip Hronek have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsHronek

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Filip Hronek's 2.03. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Filip Hronek?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →