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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Ivan Barbashev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Barbashev has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Barbashev's 1.8.

Ivan Barbashev has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Faceoffs won 580, Power-play share 71.5%.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.7, Luck Meter +43, Fenwick 53.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsBarbashev
Goals (+2)0.790.49
Assists (+1)0.380.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.15
Hits (+0.1)0.070.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Barbashev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsBarbashev
4Team record in 14 meetings10
11Points in those games10

Matthews 8G 3A, 56 SOG · Barbashev 3G 7A, 16 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other1

Matthews's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 2–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

24:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
39–25
60.9%
Expected goals
1.1–1.9
35.9%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Ivan Barbashev
DateScoreMatthewsBarbashev
2026-01-23TOR 3–6 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2026-01-15TOR 5–6 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-05TOR 2–5 VGK1G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-27TOR 2–6 VGK0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-02-22TOR 7–3 VGK1G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2023-01-03TOR 5–6 STL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-27TOR 5–4 STL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-15TOR 6–5 STL1G 1A 8S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-19TOR 3–6 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-07TOR 5–2 STL2G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2019-10-07TOR 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2019-02-19TOR 2–3 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsBarbashev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Ivan Barbashev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Ivan Barbashev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Barbashev leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Barbashev done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 4–10. Matthews had 11 points (8 goals) and Barbashev had 10 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Barbashev?
Against each other, Matthews has won 4 and Barbashev 1 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →