Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Frost's 2.6.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.3, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Ice time per game 20:48.
Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.2, Luck Meter +14, 20+ mph bursts 142.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Frost 21–19.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 9G 12A, 45 SOG · Frost 3G 2A, 26 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 4–4 · neutral 3–4 · Matthews's defensive zone 14–11 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
4:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–7
- 22.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 8.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | TOR 4–2 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-28 | TOR 4–3 CGY | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-17 | TOR 6–2 CGY | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-04 | TOR 6–3 CGY | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-07 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-05 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-19 | TOR 3–4 PHI | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-14 | TOR 6–2 PHI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-02-15 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 3G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-08 | TOR 6–2 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-22 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-02 | TOR 6–3 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Frost done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 11–2. Matthews had 21 points (9 goals) and Frost had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Frost?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 21 and Frost 19 of their 40 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →