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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Trevor Zegras

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Blocked shots 81.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Penalty minutes 62, Luck Meter +27.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsZegras
Goals (+2)0.790.57
Assists (+1)0.380.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsZegras
7Team record in 9 meetings2
7Points in those games4

Matthews 4G 3A, 49 SOG · Zegras 2G 2A, 27 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other1

Matthews's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 1–1 · Matthews's defensive zone 4–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

18:10 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
16–18
47.1%
Expected goals
0.9–0.6
59.3%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreMatthewsZegras
2026-03-02TOR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 8S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08TOR 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-01TOR 5–2 PHI1G 0A 5S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-30TOR 3–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2024-01-03TOR 2–1 ANA1G 0A 13S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-13TOR 7–0 ANA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-30TOR 3–4 ANA1G 0A 4S2G 0A 3S
2022-01-26TOR 4–3 ANA0G 2A 7S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-28TOR 5–1 ANA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 8S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Zegras done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 7–2. Matthews had 7 points (4 goals) and Zegras had 4 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Zegras?
Against each other, Matthews has won 7 and Zegras 1 of their 8 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →