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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Vincent Trocheck

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 3.3 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.7.

Vincent Trocheck has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, Shots on goal 227.

Trocheck's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.3, Luck Meter +42, Hits 193.

Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Trocheck 35–33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Vincent Trocheck

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsTrocheck
Goals (+2)0.790.45
Assists (+1)0.380.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.11
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.17
Hits (+0.1)0.070.31
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Trocheck

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsTrocheck
10Team record in 18 meetings8
15Points in those games16

Matthews 10G 5A, 76 SOG · Trocheck 3G 13A, 50 SOG

35Faceoffs against each other33

Matthews's offensive zone 14–13 · neutral 6–8 · Matthews's defensive zone 15–12 (2017-18 to 2024-25)

0Hits on each other3
0Shots blocked by the other1

Matthews blocked 0 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 1 of Matthews's.

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Vincent Trocheck
DateScoreMatthewsTrocheck
2025-03-20TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2025-02-28TOR 3–2 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-19TOR 1–4 NYR1G 0A 9S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-02TOR 4–3 NYR0G 1A 4S2G 0A 3S
2023-12-19TOR 2–5 NYR2G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-12TOR 7–3 NYR2G 2A 3S0G 0A 6S
2023-04-13TOR 3–2 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-25TOR 3–2 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-15TOR 1–3 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2022-02-07TOR 4–3 CAR2G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-25TOR 1–4 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-03TOR 3–5 FLA1G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsTrocheck

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Vincent Trocheck

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Vincent Trocheck?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vincent Trocheck leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Trocheck done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 10–8. Matthews had 15 points (10 goals) and Trocheck had 16 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Trocheck?
Against each other, Matthews has won 35 and Trocheck 33 of their 68 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →