Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Johnston's 2.5.
Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Transition attempts /60 2.09.
Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, Luck Meter +27, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.003.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Johnston 11–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 3G 5A, 22 SOG · Johnston 1G 3A, 13 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 3–1 · Matthews's defensive zone 3–2 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Matthews blocked 2 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 0 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
3:22 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–2
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 59.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | TOR 1–5 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | TOR 1–4 DAL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-18 | TOR 5–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-07 | TOR 5–4 DAL | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-26 | TOR 4–1 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-06 | TOR 4–0 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-20 | TOR 3–2 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Johnston done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 5–2. Matthews had 8 points (3 goals) and Johnston had 4 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Johnston?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 11 and Johnston 6 of their 17 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →