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Who to start · 2025-26

Beckett Sennecke vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Beckett Sennecke's 1.64.

Sennecke had 60 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Sennecke has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Sennecke's 1.3.

John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sennecke's biggest edges: Hits 97, 20+ mph bursts 230, Penalty minutes 62.

Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +52.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Beckett Sennecke

1.64

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSenneckeCarlson
Goals (+2)0.650.37
Assists (+1)0.420.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.23
Hits (+0.1)0.120.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.140.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sennecke vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SenneckeCarlson
0Team record in 1 meetings1
1Points in those games2

Sennecke 1G 0A, 5 SOG · Carlson 1G 1A, 2 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Sennecke blocked 1 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 0 of Sennecke's.

1Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Sennecke's side)

4:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Sennecke's side

Shot attempts
4–2
66.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
89.4%
Goals
0–0

On the ice together

162:22 at 5-on-5 over 28 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
154–132
53.8%
Expected goals
6.7–7.2
48.4%
Goals
6–9

Games against each other

Games between Beckett Sennecke and John Carlson
DateScoreSenneckeCarlson
2026-01-05ANA 4–7 WSH1G 0A 5S1G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SenneckeCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Beckett Sennecke

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Beckett Sennecke or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Beckett Sennecke's 1.64. Sennecke had 60 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Beckett Sennecke or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sennecke and Carlson done against each other?
In 1 games against each other in our data, Sennecke's team went 0–1. Sennecke had 1 points (1 goals) and Carlson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →