Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Bo Horvat vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Horvat's 1.5.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Horvat's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Goals above expected +0.5, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 56.7%, Hits 114.

Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Horvat 71–69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bo Horvat

2.07

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bo Horvat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHorvatHertl
Goals (+2)0.850.63
Assists (+1)0.420.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.27
Hits (+0.1)0.080.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Horvat vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HorvatHertl
15Team record in 22 meetings7
26Points in those games20

Horvat 10G 16A, 52 SOG · Hertl 10G 10A, 55 SOG

69Faceoffs against each other71

Horvat's offensive zone 29–21 · neutral 18–20 · Horvat's defensive zone 22–30 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Horvat blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Horvat's.

On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)

1:02 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side

Shot attempts
3–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Bo Horvat and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreHorvatHertl
2025-12-09NYI 5–4 VGK2G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-13NYI 4–3 VGK0G 2A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-04NYI 2–1 VGK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-09NYI 4–0 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-05NYI 4–5 SJS0G 2A 2S3G 0A 8S
2023-03-18NYI 4–1 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-27VAN 6–2 SJS2G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-07VAN 6–5 SJS0G 2A 2S0G 2A 7S
2022-11-27VAN 4–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-09VAN 4–2 SJS0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-02-17VAN 5–4 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2021-12-16VAN 5–2 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HorvatHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bo Horvat

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Bo Horvat or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bo Horvat projects to 2.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bo Horvat or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Horvat and Hertl done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 15–7. Horvat had 26 points (10 goals) and Hertl had 20 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Horvat or Hertl?
Against each other, Horvat has won 69 and Hertl 71 of their 140 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →