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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.86.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left; Marner has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 4.2 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.5.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.94, 20+ mph bursts 104, Luck Meter +25.

Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, High-danger chances 59.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandMarner
Goals (+2)1.040.59
Assists (+1)0.520.69
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.20
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandMarner
31Team record in 55 meetings24
66Points in those games65

Marchand 21G 45A, 166 SOG · Marner 18G 47A, 118 SOG

3Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other3

Marchand blocked 2 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 3 of Marchand's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)

9:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side

Shot attempts
5–4
55.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
87.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and Mitch Marner
DateScoreMarchandMarner
2025-11-10FLA 3–2 VGK1G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-25FLA 3–0 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-18 · POFLA 6–1 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-16 · POFLA 0–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-05-14 · POFLA 6–1 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-11 · POFLA 2–0 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-05-09 · POFLA 5–4 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2025-05-07 · POFLA 3–4 TOR1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2025-05-05 · POFLA 4–5 TOR0G 2A 1S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-08FLA 3–1 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-02FLA 2–3 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2025-02-25BOS 4–5 TOR1G 1A 4S2G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 55 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Mitch Marner

3games (2 left)

4.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA1.9 pts
    vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.86. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Marner done against each other?
In 55 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 31–24. Marchand had 66 points (21 goals) and Marner had 65 (18 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →