Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left. We project Marchand for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 38, Luck Meter +50, On-ice PDO 993.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Plus/minus +8, Fenwick 61.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.78
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 4G 6A, 27 SOG · Ehlers 3G 7A, 32 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Marchand's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24)
Marchand blocked 1 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Marchand's.
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
6:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–2
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.0
- 99.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | FLA 5–2 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4–3 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2–6 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4–1 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-22 | BOS 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-03-16 | BOS 3–0 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-18 | BOS 4–2 WPG | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2020-01-31 | BOS 2–1 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-01-09 | BOS 5–4 WPG | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2019-03-14 | BOS 3–4 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-03-27 | BOS 4–5 WPG | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2017-12-21 | BOS 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 8–4. Marchand had 10 points (4 goals) and Ehlers had 10 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Ehlers?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 1 and Ehlers 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

