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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left. We project Marchand for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 38, Luck Meter +50, On-ice PDO 993.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Plus/minus +8, Fenwick 61.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.78

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandEhlers
Goals (+2)1.040.63
Assists (+1)0.520.55
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.25
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandEhlers
8Team record in 12 meetings4
10Points in those games10

Marchand 4G 6A, 27 SOG · Ehlers 3G 7A, 32 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Marchand's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Marchand's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24)

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Marchand blocked 1 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 0 of Marchand's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)

6:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side

Shot attempts
6–2
75.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.0
99.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreMarchandEhlers
2025-12-23FLA 5–2 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-19FLA 4–3 CAR1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-30BOS 2–6 WPG1G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-01-22BOS 4–1 WPG1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-22BOS 1–5 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-16BOS 3–0 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-18BOS 4–2 WPG1G 0A 6S1G 0A 5S
2020-01-31BOS 2–1 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2020-01-09BOS 5–4 WPG0G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S
2019-03-14BOS 3–4 WPG0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2018-03-27BOS 4–5 WPG0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2017-12-21BOS 2–1 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Ehlers done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 8–4. Marchand had 10 points (4 goals) and Ehlers had 10 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Ehlers?
Against each other, Marchand has won 1 and Ehlers 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →