Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left. We project Marchand for 2.3 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.4.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.94, Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +6.9.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Blocked shots 40, Faceoffs won 98, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.39
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.35 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 9G 20A, 56 SOG · Buchnevich 5G 16A, 48 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Marchand's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
5:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 48.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | FLA 4–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-20 | FLA 2–6 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-12 | BOS 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-01-13 | BOS 4–3 STL | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-07 | BOS 3–1 STL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-19 | BOS 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-12 | BOS 2–4 STL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-05-08 | BOS 4–5 NYR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2021-03-13 | BOS 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-03-11 | BOS 4–0 NYR | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 12–11. Marchand had 29 points (9 goals) and Buchnevich had 21 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 0 and Buchnevich 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →