Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.5.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.33, Transition attempts /60 1.94, Offensive-zone time 46.0%.
Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Blocked shots 53, Hits 179.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.20
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.83 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 16G 19A, 86 SOG · Wilson 8G 13A, 71 SOG
Marchand blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Marchand's.
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
9:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–15
- 28.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 30.8%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | FLA 5–3 WSH | 1G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 6S |
| 2025-11-13 | FLA 6–3 WSH | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-31 | BOS 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-12-23 | BOS 4–1 WSH | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-15 | BOS 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | BOS 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-11 | BOS 5–2 WSH | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-04-10 | BOS 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-20 | BOS 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-01-10 | BOS 7–3 WSH | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-23 · PO | BOS 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-21 · PO | BOS 4–1 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 30 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Wilson done against each other?
- In 30 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 16–14. Marchand had 35 points (16 goals) and Wilson had 21 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →