Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.8.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Luck Meter +50, Transition attempts /60 1.94.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Blocked shots 45.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 8G 10A, 36 SOG · Hertl 3G 2A, 28 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Marchand's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18)
Marchand blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Marchand's.
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
3:09 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–2
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | FLA 3–2 VGK | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-25 | FLA 3–0 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-08 | BOS 3–4 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-30 | BOS 3–0 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-19 | BOS 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-01-22 | BOS 4–0 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-07 | BOS 4–2 SJS | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-26 | BOS 3–1 SJS | 2G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-24 | BOS 4–3 SJS | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2019-10-29 | BOS 5–1 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-02-26 | BOS 4–1 SJS | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-02-18 | BOS 6–5 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Hertl done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 12–1. Marchand had 18 points (8 goals) and Hertl had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Hertl?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 0 and Hertl 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →