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Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Erik Karlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Karlsson for 1.3 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: Hits 163, Blocked shots 140, Penalty minutes 26.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Fenwick 53.1%, Corsi 54.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.38

fantasy points per game

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderKarlsson
Goals (+2)0.040.38
Assists (+1)0.160.70
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.24
Hits (+0.1)0.220.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs Karlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderKarlsson
9Team record in 14 meetings5
3Points in those games7

Schneider 1G 2A, 20 SOG · Karlsson 1G 6A, 26 SOG

6Shots blocked by the other1

Schneider blocked 6 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 1 of Schneider's.

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

22:17 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
15–20
42.9%
Expected goals
0.9–0.9
50.2%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Erik Karlsson
DateScoreSchneiderKarlsson
2026-02-28NYR 3–2 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-31NYR 5–6 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-11NYR 6–1 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-07NYR 0–3 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-23NYR 5–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-07NYR 2–3 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-06NYR 4–2 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-09NYR 6–0 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-01NYR 2–5 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-16NYR 7–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22NYR 1–0 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-19NYR 2–1 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderKarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Erik Karlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and Karlsson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 9–5. Schneider had 3 points (1 goals) and Karlsson had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →