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Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Tom Wilson has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.47.

Wilson's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.8%, Sequence xG 55.1%, Expected goals 55.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.37

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderWilson
Goals (+2)0.040.78
Assists (+1)0.160.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.20
Hits (+0.1)0.210.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderWilson
11Team record in 19 meetings8
8Points in those games14

Schneider 2G 6A, 21 SOG · Wilson 7G 7A, 42 SOG

3Hits on each other8
2Shots blocked by the other2

Schneider blocked 2 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 2 of Schneider's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

11:19 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
15–22
40.5%
Expected goals
0.9–0.8
53.3%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Tom Wilson
DateScoreSchneiderWilson
2026-04-05NYR 8–1 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-31NYR 3–6 WSH1G 0A 1S2G 1A 4S
2025-10-12NYR 0–1 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-05NYR 2–3 WSH0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-04NYR 4–7 WSH0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2024-10-29NYR 3–5 WSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-28 · PONYR 4–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-26 · PONYR 3–1 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-23 · PONYR 4–3 WSH0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2024-04-21 · PONYR 4–1 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-14NYR 2–1 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-13NYR 2–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and Wilson done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 11–8. Schneider had 8 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 14 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →