Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs John Carlson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Carlson has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.9.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Hits 162, Penalty minutes 71.
Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, On-ice PDO 1009, Top skating speed 22.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.37 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.76 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Carlson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 3G 10A, 61 SOG · Carlson 4G 8A, 38 SOG
Tkachuk blocked 2 of Carlson's shots; Carlson blocked 0 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
2:53 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–3
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Carlson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | OTT 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | OTT 4–5 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-30 | OTT 5–4 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | OTT 0–1 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-07 | OTT 3–2 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-26 | OTT 3–6 WSH | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-18 | OTT 6–1 WSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-22 | OTT 2–3 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-20 | OTT 5–2 WSH | 0G 2A 8S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-02-13 | OTT 4–1 WSH | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2021-10-25 | OTT 5–7 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2020-01-31 | OTT 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Carlson's 2.10. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or John Carlson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Carlson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 6–10. Tkachuk had 13 points (3 goals) and Carlson had 12 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →