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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.5.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Fenwick 59.6%, Corsi 58.2%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Blocked shots 150, Goals above expected +3.3, On-ice PDO 1007.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukFerraro
Goals (+2)0.650.29
Assists (+1)0.540.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.13
Hits (+0.1)0.290.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukFerraro
5Team record in 9 meetings4
15Points in those games7

Tkachuk 5G 10A, 34 SOG · Ferraro 2G 5A, 9 SOG

4Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

6:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
64.7%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreTkachukFerraro
2026-03-15OTT 7–4 SJS1G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-03-01OTT 5–3 SJS1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-27OTT 4–3 SJS0G 2A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-03-09OTT 1–2 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-13OTT 5–4 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 3A 1S
2022-11-21OTT 1–5 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-24OTT 3–6 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2021-10-21OTT 1–2 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2019-10-27OTT 5–2 SJS1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.5 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Ferraro done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–4. Tkachuk had 15 points (5 goals) and Ferraro had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →