Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.101, Faceoff win % 57.6%, Hits 162.
Marner's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, On-ice PDO 1019, Blocked shots 46.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 13G 17A, 130 SOG · Marner 10G 28A, 81 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)
Tkachuk blocked 1 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 3 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
5:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–2
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | OTT 7–1 VGK | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | OTT 2–4 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-29 · PO | OTT 4–0 TOR | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | OTT 4–3 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | OTT 2–3 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-04-22 · PO | OTT 2–3 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-20 · PO | OTT 2–6 TOR | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2025-03-15 | OTT 4–2 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | OTT 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-12 | OTT 3–0 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-10 | OTT 5–3 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-27 | OTT 4–2 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 35 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Marner done against each other?
- In 35 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 16–19. Tkachuk had 30 points (13 goals) and Marner had 38 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Marner?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 0 and Marner 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →