Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: High-danger chances 60.8%, Sequence xG 61.0%, Expected goals 61.0%.
Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, 20+ mph bursts 142, Blocked shots 39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 5G 8A, 50 SOG · Frost 0G 4A, 11 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 2–5 · neutral 1–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
2:14 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–2
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- 55.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | OTT 4–1 CGY | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-14 | OTT 4–5 PHI | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-21 | OTT 5–3 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-14 | OTT 5–2 PHI | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-30 | OTT 5–4 PHI | 0G 1A 8S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-12 | OTT 4–1 PHI | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-05 | OTT 1–2 PHI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-29 | OTT 4–2 PHI | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-18 | OTT 3–1 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-12-21 | OTT 4–5 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-12-07 | OTT 3–4 PHI | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LW
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LW
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to C
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to C
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Frost done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 7–4. Tkachuk had 13 points (5 goals) and Frost had 4 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Frost?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 3 and Frost 5 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →