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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Brady TkachukBrady TkachukPanthers · Left wingvsNikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersHurricanes · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hits 162, Penalty minutes 71, Faceoffs won 175.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, 20+ mph bursts 182, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.44.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukEhlers
Goals (+2)0.650.56
Assists (+1)0.540.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.26
Hits (+0.1)0.290.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukEhlers
6Team record in 23 meetings17
15Points in those games28

Tkachuk 11G 4A, 93 SOG · Ehlers 11G 17A, 72 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Tkachuk blocked 0 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 2 of Tkachuk's.

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

45:05 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
41–36
53.2%
Expected goals
2.2–1.4
61.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreTkachukEhlers
2026-09-29FLA 1–0 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-23 · POOTT 1–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-20 · POOTT 2–3 CAR0G 0A 6S0G 1A 5S
2026-04-18 · POOTT 0–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-05OTT 6–3 CAR2G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2026-02-03OTT 3–4 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-24OTT 1–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-28OTT 2–4 WPG0G 1A 7S1G 2A 6S
2024-03-30OTT 3–2 WPG1G 1A 6S1G 0A 5S
2024-01-20OTT 1–2 WPG0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-21OTT 1–5 WPG0G 0A 3S1G 2A 4S
2022-04-10OTT 3–4 WPG2G 1A 8S1G 2A 7S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukEhlers

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LW
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LW

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LW
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LW
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Ehlers done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 6–17. Tkachuk had 15 points (11 goals) and Ehlers had 28 (11 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →