Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.101, Faceoff win % 57.6%, Transition attempts /60 2.80.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Blocked shots 40, Goals above expected −0.4, On-ice PDO 1000.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 6G 6A, 60 SOG · Buchnevich 2G 9A, 16 SOG
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
11:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–14
- 51.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 53.5%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | OTT 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-28 | OTT 3–4 STL | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-03 | OTT 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-29 | OTT 8–1 STL | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-14 | OTT 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-16 | OTT 1–2 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-08 | OTT 4–1 STL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-15 | OTT 2–5 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2019-11-22 | OTT 4–1 NYR | 0G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-11-04 | OTT 6–2 NYR | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-10-05 | OTT 1–4 NYR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 0S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–8. Tkachuk had 12 points (6 goals) and Buchnevich had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →