Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 71, High-danger chances 60.8%, Hits 162.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 171, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.32
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 5G 4A, 66 SOG · Jarvis 6G 7A, 42 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
20:49 at 5-on-5 over 6 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–12
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.5
- 64.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 · PO | OTT 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2026-04-23 · PO | OTT 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-20 · PO | OTT 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-18 · PO | OTT 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6–3 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-03 | OTT 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-13 | OTT 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-17 | OTT 2–7 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-12 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 8S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-11 | OTT 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-10 | OTT 3–2 CAR | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–12. Tkachuk had 9 points (5 goals) and Jarvis had 13 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 2 and Jarvis 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →