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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Tom Wilson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Wilson's 1.9.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Transition attempts /60 2.80.

Wilson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.0, Blocked shots 53, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukWilson
Goals (+2)0.650.78
Assists (+1)0.540.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.290.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.44

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Wilson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukWilson
5Team record in 16 meetings11
10Points in those games15

Tkachuk 3G 7A, 55 SOG · Wilson 5G 10A, 44 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Tkachuk's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

5Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Tkachuk blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Tkachuk's.

2Penalties drawn off the other3

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

7:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
7–3
70.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
70.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Tom Wilson
DateScoreTkachukWilson
2026-03-18OTT 1–4 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2026-01-01OTT 4–3 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-03-03OTT 4–5 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-30OTT 5–4 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-16OTT 0–1 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-07OTT 3–2 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-26OTT 3–6 WSH1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-18OTT 6–1 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2022-01-22OTT 2–3 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2022-02-13OTT 4–1 WSH1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-25OTT 5–7 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2020-01-31OTT 3–5 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukWilson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 pts

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Wilson done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–11. Tkachuk had 10 points (3 goals) and Wilson had 15 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Wilson?
Against each other, Tkachuk has won 1 and Wilson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →