Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.42, Plus/minus +4, Transition attempts /60 2.80.

Hertl's biggest edges: Blocked shots 45, Ascension score 61, Faceoffs won 720.

Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads Hertl 14–9.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukHertl
Goals (+2)0.650.63
Assists (+1)0.540.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.27
Hits (+0.1)0.290.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukHertl
5Team record in 11 meetings6
13Points in those games8

Tkachuk 4G 9A, 46 SOG · Hertl 5G 3A, 25 SOG

14Faceoffs against each other9

Tkachuk's offensive zone 13–7 · neutral 1–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–2 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

8:26 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
10–9
52.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
61.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreTkachukHertl
2026-01-25OTT 7–1 VGK0G 3A 3S0G 1A 4S
2024-11-21OTT 2–3 VGK0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-25OTT 4–6 VGK0G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2024-01-13OTT 5–4 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-03OTT 5–2 SJS1G 0A 3S2G 0A 5S
2022-11-21OTT 1–5 SJS0G 1A 5S1G 0A 2S
2021-11-24OTT 3–6 SJS1G 1A 4S1G 0A 1S
2021-10-21OTT 1–2 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-27OTT 5–2 SJS1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-01-12OTT 1–4 SJS0G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2018-12-01OTT 6–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Hertl done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–6. Tkachuk had 13 points (4 goals) and Hertl had 8 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Hertl?
Against each other, Tkachuk has won 14 and Hertl 9 of their 23 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →