Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Connor Bedard
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Hagel's 1.8.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Scoring chances 58.3%, Plus/minus +34.
Bedard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 315, Hardest shot 90.7, Power-play share 74.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.26
fantasy points per game
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Bedard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.01 | 0.87 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Bedard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 1G 3A, 14 SOG · Bedard 3G 3A, 13 SOG
Hagel's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–1 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
Hagel blocked 1 of Bedard's shots; Bedard blocked 0 of Hagel's.
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
9:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–4
- 77.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.3
- 71.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Bedard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | TBL 2–1 CHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-23 | TBL 2–3 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-28 | TBL 1–4 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-24 | TBL 4–3 CHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | TBL 4–2 CHI | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-09 | TBL 3–5 CHI | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 2A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Connor Bedard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Bedard done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 3–3. Hagel had 4 points (1 goals) and Bedard had 6 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Bedard?
- Against each other, Hagel has won 1 and Bedard 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →