Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left; Aho has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 4.0 ESPN points to Hagel's 2.2.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1032, Top skating speed 23.2, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.36.
Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Offensive-zone time 48.2%, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.15
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 5G 5A, 39 SOG · Aho 10G 9A, 70 SOG
Hagel's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–0 (2020-21)
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
2:58 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 30.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-02-26 | TBL 4–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-11 | TBL 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3–2 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-11 | TBL 4–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-24 | TBL 8–2 CAR | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | TBL 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | TBL 3–0 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-28 | TBL 4–0 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-05 | TBL 0–6 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-03 | TBL 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-29 | TBL 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.2 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Sebastian Aho
3games (2 left)
4.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH1.8 pts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Aho done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 9–14. Hagel had 10 points (5 goals) and Aho had 19 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Aho?
- Against each other, Hagel has won 2 and Aho 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →